At a glance
Poor health is one of the UK's biggest economic challenges, contributing to lower productivity, widening inequalities and growing pressure on public services. At the same time, the UK's world-leading health research and innovation system faces increasing financial and workforce pressures.
Our representation argues that investment in medical science is an investment in both the nation's health and its economy. It sets out actions to strengthen research, support the workforce, accelerate innovation and deliver the shift to prevention.
Executive summary
The UK's deteriorating health is an economic challenge. Rising economic inactivity linked to ill-health, widening health inequalities and pressure on public services are constraining productivity and growth. Meanwhile, research and innovation capacity is at risk of decline, weakening international competitiveness and economic growth.
Investment in medical science can improve population health and reduce economic inactivity, while driving regional growth in a £147 billion sector that supports 360,000 jobs across the UK.1 The evidence shows that every £1 invested in medical research delivers a further 25p return for every year thereafter.2
The budget should:
Protect UKRI’s existing £1.5bn investment in life sciences and leverage private investment.
A decreasing cost recovery for research activities in universities means the UK’s ability to develop new health innovations is at risk.
Position the UK’s clinical academic pipeline as an investment in essential national infrastructure.
This will help build the future workforce to drive employment, innovation and growth.
Develop a consistent decision-making framework for valuing health interventions to inform public spending decisions at national and local level, delivering the shift from ‘sickness to prevention’.
Invest in digital capability to accelerate the development and adoption of new treatments, reducing the strain on the NHS.
Strengthen financial support for regional health research collaborations to drive economic growth.
We can learn from successful local innovation system funding models to scale up UK capacity.
1. Protect the UK’s research and innovation capacity
The UK’s health research is high quality. For the 2021 Research Excellence Framework, the quality of submissions to Main Panel A (medicine, health and life sciences) was judged, on average, to be 45% world-leading (4*) and 41% internationally excellent (3*) (FTE weighted).3 Government analysis also shows a higher-than-average publications share for medical science, while several UK universities are in the top lists of health research institutions worldwide.4 The UK’s population sees the direct benefits of this research, which is translated into innovations that improve health and support service delivery. Investment in discovery research allows innovations to progress through the pipeline to later stages, such as clinical trials activity.
Key recommendations for UK government
1.1 Maintain long-term commitments on public R&D funding and national research priorities, to grow the UK’s position as a leading place for health research and innovation activity.
This includes maintaining UKRI’s full Spending Review commitments to invest £1.5 billion in the life sciences, protecting investment into Medical Research Council and National Institute for Health and Care Research which are foundational to the medical sciences ecosystem.
Cost of inaction
Research from Universities UK found that, for each £1 of publicly funded research income, the UK higher education sector’s research and knowledge exchange activities generate approximately £9.9 in economic impact across the UK.11 Should universities decide to pivot their activities in response to financial challenges, this impact is at risk.
DHSC has also estimated that for every £1 of government investment into the National Institute for Health and Care Research, approximately £13.50 of societal benefits are generated over 60 years.12 There are clear, long-term benefits of investing in health research organisations.
economic impact: every £1 of publicly funded research income generates approximately £9.90 for the UK economy from university research and knowledge exchange activities.
of REF submissions for medicine, health and life sciences research were rated world-leading or internationally excellent in 2021.
2. Position the UK’s clinical academic pipeline as an investment in essential national infrastructure
Clinical academics are healthcare professionals who work both in the NHS and an academic setting. They work directly with patients to see where their care could be improved and understand how research can respond to those needs. Their joint expertise in clinical work and in research drives innovation and discovery of new diagnostic pathways and treatments, improving both patient outcomes and population health.13
But as noted in research commissioned by the Office for Strategic Coordination of Health Research (OSCHR), the future of clinical research is under threat due to decline in clinical research staff numbers.14
The Life Sciences Sector Plan highlights the need for strong talent pipelines and sustained research capacity to support discovery, trials and adoption, indicating that progression challenges in one part of the system have consequences for others.15 National and organisational leadership are therefore pivotal in driving cultural shifts around research and innovation in medical science settings.
Key recommendations for UK government
2.1 Reframe clinical academic training as essential national infrastructure, jointly owned and funded across health, economic and science budgets, to drive innovation in the NHS and keep the UK at the forefront of medical advances.
This requires a cross-departmental clinical academic strategy between BIST, DfE and DHSC.
2.2 Improve alignment of workforce planning and investment across funders, employers and system leaders.
This includes embedding incentives for enabling cross-sector collaboration and ‘portfolio’ careers which bridge university- and NHS-based research with industry, exploring methods such as removing tax where it hampers mobility and industry secondments.
2.3 Conduct a review of medical science workforce availability and distribution to support regional scale up.
Our UK Medical Science Careers Taskforce, which is developing a national plan, has identified that local and regional ‘clusters’ provide opportunities for universities, NHS trusts, industry and funders to work in partnership to support careers and strengthen or align clinical research facilities and trials.27 These clusters also allow people to move more easily between clinical roles, academia, industry and technical careers, because relationships and pathways are built locally.
Cost of inaction
NIHR’s research workforce update for England notes that ‘investment in research capacity strengthens the workforce and the wider system’. Without this investment, and based on the current research workforce trajectory, the UK will limit its ability to translate research into improved health outcomes, productivity and investment opportunities.28
Research prepared for the Health Innovation Network estimates that innovations in healthcare could bring in around £246 billion every year, equivalent to 9.6% of the British economy.29 This opportunity could be lost if we do not have the workforce in place to deliver these innovations.
3. Develop a consistent decision-making framework for valuing health interventions, improving value for money
The planned shift from sickness to prevention will create healthier lives, reduce health service pressures and increase productivity. It is important to invest in and value this shift, to reduce rates of low vaccination, obesity, and avoidable hospital admissions, identifying health issues at the right times.
The 10-Year Health Plan for England set the right policy direction to prioritise prevention and early detection. Some health services have already implemented a range of prevention and early detection strategies and programmes.30 However, the share of the health budget spent on acute care relative to primary and secondary preventative interventions has not yet matched the policy intent. This is, in part, because government has no consistent way of considering the allocative efficiency of health spending decisions within existing resources.
Addressing this requires a consistent framework for assessing value across different health interventions, and better integration of health and economic policy. This will assist policymakers when trying to make consistent, transparent and evidence-based decisions on the cost-effectiveness of different health interventions. Ministers need to be able to better consider the impact of health spending decisions on reducing cost elsewhere to public services and where they will drive growth, informing modelling by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).
Key recommendation for UK government
3.1 Develop a consistent decision-making framework for valuing health interventions to inform public spending decisions at national and local level, delivering the shift from ‘sickness to prevention’.
Cost of inaction
The Department for Work and Pensions calculated that when an individual with health problems moves from activity to inactivity, the additional NHS cost per year is £910. When multiplied by the number of people who are inactive due to sickness, this amounts to approximately £2 billion. They estimated that the total cost of working age ill-health and disability that prevented work was between £240 billion and £330 billion in 2022.40
Research from NIHR estimates that approximately a fifth of the UK’s public sector expenditure is dedicated to healthcare R&D.41 In 2022, public/charitable sectors provided about £5.12 billion toward basic science, clinical and health services research, while £5.01 billion comes from industry.42 An effective framework will help to identify the opportunities and trade-offs when distributing this funding.
4. Fund workforce capability and infrastructure to create a technology-enabled NHS
Lord Darzi’s independent investigation of the NHS in England set out the powerful opportunity to support data and AI use within UK medical sciences to improve health outcomes.43 44 The use of AI for purposes such as personalised medicine and genomics is already showing great potential for improving our understanding of disease and treatments; saving time and resource for the NHS; and improving health and economic outcomes. A key next step is to consider how the UK can play to its unique strengths to build national capability in AI and maximise the use of health data.
However, the UK must overcome several technical, structural, and social challenges to accelerate the development and adoption of data and AI applications. To meet ambitions to utilise health data and AI-based technologies at scale, we need to invest in the necessary skills, data infrastructure, regulation and digital systems. We also need to strengthen cross-sector links between medical research, industry and the NHS. NHS England’s 2026 productivity plan update notes that ‘technology and digital investment can enable large amounts of productivity potential, but decisions must be taken to implement those systems, to realise the benefits, and (where appropriate) to remove current systems and process that are a drag on improvement).45
Key recommendations for UK government
4.1 Invest in digital systems and IT infrastructure so that the NHS can adopt and scale the use of AI and data effectively.
This will improve our understanding of disease and treatments; which will save time and resource for the NHS and improve health and economic outcomes. This funding should be targeted so that:
- capital investment supports digitisation and AI-enabling IT infrastructure
- incentives support the adoption of safe and effective AI tools
- system funding improves interoperability between digital systems
- career pathways provide opportunities to build and incorporate data and technology skills in the life sciences.
4.2 Deploy funding as part of a joint national health data strategy, guided by the findings of the independent Sudlow Review on health data, and developed in partnership between DHSC, NHS England, research funders (e.g. UKRI), and the research community.46
Cost of inaction
The Sudlow Review noted that a significant proportion of the £5.12 billion of public and charitable health R&D funding is used for studies that rely on health-relevant data, but also that many studies were held up or abandoned due to data access delays. The review noted that ‘resolving these delays could generate considerable cost savings’, but without action, these inefficiencies will continue.
Increased productivity will also reduce funding needs for the NHS; the Health Foundation has projected that ‘with 1% a year productivity growth, the NHS needs funding of £211bn by 2028/29, while with 2% per year productivity growth, the NHS would need £198bn’.47 However the Darzi Report noted that a ‘major tilt towards technology’ is needed to unlock this productivity, with ‘hundreds of thousands of NHS staff working outside hospitals’ urgently needing the benefits of digital systems.
5. Strengthen financial support for regional health research collaborations to drive economic growth
There is great potential to maximise medical science through targeted investment across all parts of the UK. The ability to tap into regional excellence is a key strength of the UK’s health research activity. Environment statements submitted to the 2021 Research Excellence Framework’s Main Panel A ‘emphasised the value of strong local and regional collaborations with the NHS’ and ‘evidenced strengthening of commercialisation of research and collaboration with commercial partners’.48
Key recommendations for UK government
5.1 Improve local coordination of financial decision-making between health, research, education and business.
We need to improve the connections between our world-class research performance and the health outcomes experienced by the public, in order to address inequalities across different parts of the UK.
5.2 Learn from funding models of local innovation systems to scale up UK capacity.
With plans to grant mayors with greater powers to foster local innovation ecosystems, there are opportunities to learn from existing models such as clinical trial centres, adapt local contexts, and scale up capability.
We can also identify which activities, decision-making capabilities, and infrastructure can be devolved to a regional or organisational level, to enable effective, widespread health innovation adoption. This has potential to attract significant industry investment and support the creation of new jobs in all parts of the UK.
Cost of inaction
Without action, there is a risk that health inequalities will deepen, and healthy life expectancy will continue to decrease. The UKHSA notes that health inequalities ‘have a significant economic burden’, and their analysis has estimated that ‘inequalities in emergency infectious disease hospital admissions cost the NHS between £970 million and £1.5 billion in 2022-23’.62 But the costs of inaction are far wider, including an underutilisation of regional research infrastructure and an inefficient use of health innovation strengths.
Annex: A snapshot of UK Medical Science
The foundations
The UK undertakes world-leading health research, with a public research return of roughly 25p on every pound, indefinitely. The life sciences industry is worth nearly £147 billion a year and employs almost 360,000 people. 86% of submissions to Main Panel A (medicine, health and life sciences) in the latest Research Excellence Framework were judged to be world-leading or internationally excellent.
Source: REF 2021
Source: OLS (no 2022/23 data)
Source: OLS (no 2022/23 data)
The missed opportunity
Despite these foundations, the UK ranks among the worst of high-income nations for preventable, treatable and avoidable mortality. The ONS notes that ‘healthy life expectancy (HLE) at birth in the UK, for both males and females, decreased to its lowest level since the ONS time series began in 2011 to 2013’ and HLE has ‘decreased in the majority of areas within every constituent country and every region of England’. A joint DWP/DBT report found that 2.8 million working-age people were economically inactive for health reasons, and that if no further action is taken, this will increase by an estimated 600,000 people by 2030.
Source: DHSC
Source: DHSC
Source: DHSC
The potential
The shift from sickness to prevention is vital for creating healthier lives, reducing service pressures and increasing productivity. It is important to invest in and value this shift, to reduce low rates of vaccination. A faster and more consistent trials landscape will also mean faster access to promising new treatments and that the UK’s research environment becomes more attractive for investment.
Source: QualityWatch
Source: DHSC
We need the talent in place to deliver this potential. Clinical researchers deliver better health in part through their discovery of new ways to prevent and treat illness and deliver care. They also drive innovation and economic growth. However, these societal benefits are under threat due to the trajectory of the clinical academic workforce. We need to do more to reverse the decline of this vital part of the workforce, by reframing clinical academic training as an investment in essential national infrastructure.
Source: Medical Schools Council
Note: This chart includes university-employed clinical academic doctors in UK medical schools and does not cover the full clinical academic workforce.
By investing in prevention initiatives, innovation adoption and the workforce, we can create the conditions for successfully translating the UK’s research strengths into improved health outcomes and economic growth. Research prepared for the Health Innovation Network estimates that innovations in healthcare could bring in around £246 billion every year, equivalent to 9.6% of the British economy.